Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.447907 0.490888 0.536896 0.589928 0.649516 0.714570 0.791193
2026-02-01 0.370164 0.428494 0.495277 0.577892 0.678023 0.796319 0.947929
2026-02-08 0.330694 0.397207 0.476940 0.580560 0.713127 0.879048 1.105630
2026-02-15 0.299175 0.369770 0.457485 0.576025 0.734440 0.942340 1.241780
2026-02-22 0.277283 0.351179 0.445867 0.578264 0.762143 1.013952 1.394721
2026-03-01 0.255884 0.330783 0.429283 0.571074 0.774668 1.064064 1.521063
2026-03-08 0.237129 0.312078 0.412920 0.561880 0.782250 1.106281 1.638848
2026-03-15 0.218221 0.291592 0.392252 0.544278 0.775092 1.124716 1.720148
2026-03-22 0.210478 0.285958 0.391750 0.555501 0.811426 1.212323 1.923458
2026-03-29 0.202844 0.279822 0.389860 0.564119 0.843976 1.296555 2.131467
2026-04-05 0.194660 0.272261 0.385190 0.567805 0.868538 1.369549 2.328711
2026-04-12 0.186762 0.264567 0.379689 0.569524 0.889632 1.438231 2.526723
2026-04-19 0.180029 0.258347 0.376204 0.574478 0.917092 1.521854 2.767982
2026-04-26 0.169963 0.246474 0.363203 0.562827 0.914803 1.551554 2.906056
2026-05-03 0.163903 0.240435 0.358975 0.565410 0.937676 1.630016 3.157145
2026-05-10 0.156861 0.232440 0.351074 0.561019 0.947293 1.683793 3.362898
2026-05-17 0.151692 0.227126 0.347171 0.563187 0.969051 1.763479 3.639599
2026-05-24 0.145133 0.219222 0.338505 0.556226 0.972720 1.806667 3.837785
2026-05-31 0.138677 0.211168 0.329139 0.547322 0.971761 1.839926 4.017173
2026-06-07 0.131189 0.201075 0.315802 0.530275 0.953265 1.833796 4.096460
2026-06-14 0.129049 0.199785 0.317470 0.541145 0.991781 1.955978 4.530795
2026-06-21 0.126587 0.197817 0.317819 0.549491 1.025785 2.072069 4.972502
2026-06-28 0.123484 0.194602 0.315779 0.553061 1.049992 2.168414 5.378818